Edward Luttwak
@ELuttwak · Veřejní intelektuálové, autoři a komentátoři
Edward Luttwak je vojenský stratég a autor knih Coup d'État a The Grand Strategy of the Byzantine Empire.
Íránský dotovaný chléb laváš stojí 2 americké centy, můj oblíbený barbari 6 centů a nejluxusnější sangak 10 centů. Mnozí teď musí žít převážně o chlebu, protože cibule stojí 660 000 rijálů a hovězí 15 milionů rijálů/kg. Nádeník vydělává 4,3 milionu rijálů/den--jmění: 3,15 USD
Přeloženo z jazyka angličtinaAby snížila svou závislost na svém terminálu v Perském zálivu, vybudovala saúdská vláda 750 mil dlouhý ropovod s kapacitou přes 3 miliony barelů denně do Janbú u Rudého moře. Húsíové, agenti Íránu, nyní hrozí, že jej uzavřou. Turci a Pákistánci se právě připojili ke spojencům KSA ve stylu NATO — 250 000 vojáků by mohlo stačit, pokud dorazí rychle ,
Přeloženo z jazyka angličtinaArcibiskup z Yorku, hlava prosperující diecéze, jejíž kostely jsou každou neděli přeplněné k stání, má očividně čas nazbyt. Proto volá po dalších hospodářských sankcích proti Izraeli. Proč to nepřenechat Pákistánu?
Přeloženo z jazyka angličtinaPo vyzkoušení všeho ostatního se vláda USA konečně zaměřila na zastavení íránského vývozu ropy, po uzavření terminálů a slábnoucím prodeji ze vzdálených kotvišť tankerů příjmy vlády USA v dolarech slábnou a rijál klesl na více než 2,4 milionu za 1 dolar. Ceny potravin nyní mnohé omezují na (dotovaný) chléb a trochu cibule. Platy Revolučních gard se utratí okamžitě ....Čas vytrvalosti
Přeloženo z jazyka angličtinaTrumpovi nepřátelé se radovali z jeho neúspěchu ukončit válku (vlastenectví je tak passé). Zastavení vývozu íránské ropy však nyní režim rdousí; ten přežívá díky klesajícím prodejům ze vzdálených skladů. K nákupu jednoho amerického dolaru je nyní potřeba 2,28 mil. rijálů. Před 30 dny to bylo 1,8 mil. Konec se blíží
Přeloženo z jazyka angličtinaŽidovská politická hloupost je konstantou. Ve Spojených státech byli stalinisté (jeden z nich je nyní senátorem! Líbánky strávil v Moskvě!) a ve Francii se přední židovští intelektuálové přiklonili ke Stalinovi, dokonce i pokud šlo o takzvané spiknutí lékařů. Jen v Itálii odsoudil senátor Terracini v roce 1967 sovětskou podporu arabským diktátorům
Přeloženo z jazyka angličtinaAni vatikánský dveřník (vždyť je známo, že papež musí kritizovat jen Izrael) neprotestuje proti masakru afrických katolíků, od státu Plateau v Nigérii až po Mosambik (kde byl islám vzácný). Placeni Katařany nabízejí: konverzi, nebo smrt.
Přeloženo z jazyka italština"islam" =submission . Not coincidentally, 27 officially Islamic countries +19 Muslim-majority countries (ex Indonesia which holds elections) are ruled by dictators. Fools airlifted Somalia, as refugees [from other Somalis] and accepted Yemenis, so Islam is now corrupting US politics
Jews who were uninstructed enough to vote for Mandani now know that his father wrote to praise Idi Amin and the 9/11 suicide bombers, the wife is a red-hot Hamas supporter and he himself is an ever-smiling dissembler.
Erdogan who won his Presidency after arresting the most popular candidate (Turkey is a [Muslim] democracy) threatens Israel in florid bombast. But VTM to ESB is only 504 n.miles, as viz 992 to Tehran, while the Islamization of the Türk Hava Kuvvetler would allow a traquil ride,
In understand that the Pope must focus 100% on Gaza, but a lesser prelate should at least ask who is paying for the killing of Catholics in Africa. Latest: ISIS Claims the beheading of 16, and the shooting of 39 In DRC's Ituri Prov of dense forests where Muslims are very few.
Iran launched more than 2,500 of its primitive, grossly inaccurate missiles and LR drones at several countries with zero concerns for the consequences but the New York Times has one more front-page story about the possibility that 1 US weapon may have landed on a wedding party. Limitless effort to undermine US action viz the fanatical regime
When will the Washington Post stop citing Iran's agents to comment on Trump's Iran policies ? There is no need of pro-regime voices to note that those policies have been erratic, but to oppose the oil export blockade because it will provoke attacks is absurd: Iran has already attacked all countries within its reach incl friendly Oman and mediator Pakistan.
Ali Vaez in today's Washington Post. He is reliable: ask about any policy to resist Iran's dictatorship and Vaez will explain why it must fail. Now that Trump has finally stopped all oil exports, Vaez explains that he is "compelling the Iranians to resort to force". Absurd: Iran has already attacked all within reach incl friendly Oman.
By age 40, Israeli women with a college degree average the same number of children as peers with high school diplomas. The ultra-orthodox have more children but they are one fifth of the Jewish population. All healthy societies are philo-genitive. All healthy states grow their own tax papers
Iran's female fertility level of 1.5 , well-below the replacement level and identical to Denmark's is hard evidence that its peoples are post-Islamic, the not unexpected result of sectarian-religious oppression & non-stop self-celebration. Expect to visit Tehran when clerics will hide their idendity by wearing...ties !!!
Countries are not given, they are taken. If the people of Tehran, Mashad and Isphahan do not emerge all at once to take the streets nothing will happen. Perhaps Pahlavi needs to study konspiratsia
Iran's female fertility level, 1.5, identical to Denmark's proves that religious oppression has not stopped the modernization of Iran's society. Actually it has engendered a sui generis post-Islamic society
Three kinds of bread are subsidized in Iran (tasted two in Tabriz --excellent) what are their prices in Rials ? I suspect that the devaluation means that the low-salaried majority must dine mostly on bread and onions
The US had finally landed on the right strategy with Iran. No negotiations. Obama's famous deal funded the huge nuclear build-up that Trump bombed No use of force except to stop oil exports from Kharg, Yask, and offshore storage (if only by excaustion) Measure of success: US$/IRial x change rate" now approaching 2 million. W that: real salaries fall & regime too
decades into the US -Shi'a dictatorship conflict two things have happened: Iran has become a country of empty mosques where at least 55% of the pop has abandoned Shia Islam per se and some 70% its 1970s innovation, Ayatollah rule. 2nd: the US has found a strategy by stopping crude liftings w/o childish negotiating attempts. Measurable result: the rial/US$ exchange rate, which drives Rial inflation rate.
The moment Trump stopped Iran's oil exports from Kharg and Jask he acquired a winning strategy: remaining oil exports are from moored tankers, and will soon run out. Without oil revenues the Rev Guards cannot import rocket fuel, or nuclear tech nor pay off militias. No more MOUs please: persist in the winning strategy till the regime cracks
The accusation that Trump has no strategy to defeat Iran ceased to be true the day he stopped oil shipments. The Revolutionary Guards had first claim on the revenues which they did not waste on medicines, frozen lamb etc to give it to Hezbollah, the Houthis and Rev Guard missile plants, nuclear recovery efforts Pls no more MOUs
Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez is obsessed with Israel. He cancelled a missile purchase from Israel and then re-bought the same missiles via an European supplier for more money. Now he blames Israel for the Ceuta debacle. What next ? His predecessors in anti-semitism had a long list including bad harvests
Azerbaijan has neutralized the Iranian threat, limited dependence on Turkey, and de-conflicted relations with Armenia and Turkmenistan. Now it is time for a leap forward: a TransCaspian road, rail, & gasline bridge, to connect Central Asia to the world via Georgia
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