에드워드 루트워크
@ELuttwak · 공적 지식인, 저자 및 논평가
에드워드 루트워크는 군사전략가이자 『쿠데타』와 『비잔틴 제국의 대전략』의 저자입니다.
A particularly obtuse retired Turkish admiral published a book that presents the fantastical claim that Turkey can define its territorial waters as it sees fit. Instead of ignoring that embarrassing book, Erdogan decided to claim half the Mediterranean, evoking the ridicule and contempt of all experts & all other parties. If he ever sends Turkish warships to affirm the claim, they will be sunk
Mohamed Atta Egypt-born leader of the 15 Saudi + 2 Emirati & 1 Lebanese Sept 11 hijackers left a Will. No mention of any political motive , nothing re USA or Israel. Instead he demands the exclusion of ANY female (incl mother) from ANY role in his funeraL & insists that the man who washes his body must use rubber gloves. Islamic moral panic
Iran's subsidized Lavash bread costs 2 US cents, my favorite Barbari 6 cents & fanciest Sangak 10 cents. Many must now live mostly on bread because onions cost 660,000 Rials & beef 15 million Rials/kilo. A day laborer earns 4.3 million rials/day--a fortune: US$ 3.15
To reduce its dependence on its Persian Gulf terminal, the Saudi Gov built a 750 mile pipeline w a 3Mb/d+ capacity to Yambu on the Red Sea. The Houthis, Iran's agents, now threaten to close it. Turks & Pakis have just signed up as the KSA's "NATO-like" allies--250,000 troops could be enough is they arrive quickly ,
The Archibishop of York head of a thriving dioceses whose churches are standing-room only every single Sunday, obviously has time on his hands. Hence he calls for further economic sanctions against Israel. Why not leave that to Pakistan ?
After trying everything else the US Gov finally focused on stopping Iran's oil exports, With the terminals shut down, and waning sales from remote tanker anchorages, the Gov US $ revenues are waning, and the Rial is down to 2.4M+ for 1 dollar. Food prices now limit many to (subsized) bread & some onion. Rev Guard salaries are spent immediately ....A Time for Tenacity
Trump's enemies rejoyced in his failure to end the war (Patriotism is so passe'). But the stop to Iran's oil exports now strangles the regime, which survives on falling sales from remote storage. It now takes 2,28 M Rials to buy a US$. Was 1.8 M 30 days ago. The end is near
Jewish political stupidity is a constant There were Stalinists in the USA (one, now a Senator ! Honeymooned in Moscow !) in France top J intellectuals sided with Stalin even re t"he doctors' plot). Only in Italy, Senator Terracini denounced Soviet support for Arab dictators in 1967
Neanche un usciere del Vaticano (il Papa si sa deve criticare solo Israele) protesta il massacro di cattolici Africani, da Plateau state Nigeria, fino al Mozambique (ove l' Islam era raro). Pagati dai Qatarini offrono: conversione o morte.
"islam" =submission . Not coincidentally, 27 officially Islamic countries +19 Muslim-majority countries (ex Indonesia which holds elections) are ruled by dictators. Fools airlifted Somalia, as refugees [from other Somalis] and accepted Yemenis, so Islam is now corrupting US politics
Jews who were uninstructed enough to vote for Mandani now know that his father wrote to praise Idi Amin and the 9/11 suicide bombers, the wife is a red-hot Hamas supporter and he himself is an ever-smiling dissembler.
Erdogan who won his Presidency after arresting the most popular candidate (Turkey is a [Muslim] democracy) threatens Israel in florid bombast. But VTM to ESB is only 504 n.miles, as viz 992 to Tehran, while the Islamization of the Türk Hava Kuvvetler would allow a traquil ride,
In understand that the Pope must focus 100% on Gaza, but a lesser prelate should at least ask who is paying for the killing of Catholics in Africa. Latest: ISIS Claims the beheading of 16, and the shooting of 39 In DRC's Ituri Prov of dense forests where Muslims are very few.
Iran launched more than 2,500 of its primitive, grossly inaccurate missiles and LR drones at several countries with zero concerns for the consequences but the New York Times has one more front-page story about the possibility that 1 US weapon may have landed on a wedding party. Limitless effort to undermine US action viz the fanatical regime
When will the Washington Post stop citing Iran's agents to comment on Trump's Iran policies ? There is no need of pro-regime voices to note that those policies have been erratic, but to oppose the oil export blockade because it will provoke attacks is absurd: Iran has already attacked all countries within its reach incl friendly Oman and mediator Pakistan.
Ali Vaez in today's Washington Post. He is reliable: ask about any policy to resist Iran's dictatorship and Vaez will explain why it must fail. Now that Trump has finally stopped all oil exports, Vaez explains that he is "compelling the Iranians to resort to force". Absurd: Iran has already attacked all within reach incl friendly Oman.
By age 40, Israeli women with a college degree average the same number of children as peers with high school diplomas. The ultra-orthodox have more children but they are one fifth of the Jewish population. All healthy societies are philo-genitive. All healthy states grow their own tax papers
Iran's female fertility level of 1.5 , well-below the replacement level and identical to Denmark's is hard evidence that its peoples are post-Islamic, the not unexpected result of sectarian-religious oppression & non-stop self-celebration. Expect to visit Tehran when clerics will hide their idendity by wearing...ties !!!
Countries are not given, they are taken. If the people of Tehran, Mashad and Isphahan do not emerge all at once to take the streets nothing will happen. Perhaps Pahlavi needs to study konspiratsia
Iran's female fertility level, 1.5, identical to Denmark's proves that religious oppression has not stopped the modernization of Iran's society. Actually it has engendered a sui generis post-Islamic society
Three kinds of bread are subsidized in Iran (tasted two in Tabriz --excellent) what are their prices in Rials ? I suspect that the devaluation means that the low-salaried majority must dine mostly on bread and onions
The US had finally landed on the right strategy with Iran. No negotiations. Obama's famous deal funded the huge nuclear build-up that Trump bombed No use of force except to stop oil exports from Kharg, Yask, and offshore storage (if only by excaustion) Measure of success: US$/IRial x change rate" now approaching 2 million. W that: real salaries fall & regime too
decades into the US -Shi'a dictatorship conflict two things have happened: Iran has become a country of empty mosques where at least 55% of the pop has abandoned Shia Islam per se and some 70% its 1970s innovation, Ayatollah rule. 2nd: the US has found a strategy by stopping crude liftings w/o childish negotiating attempts. Measurable result: the rial/US$ exchange rate, which drives Rial inflation rate.
The moment Trump stopped Iran's oil exports from Kharg and Jask he acquired a winning strategy: remaining oil exports are from moored tankers, and will soon run out. Without oil revenues the Rev Guards cannot import rocket fuel, or nuclear tech nor pay off militias. No more MOUs please: persist in the winning strategy till the regime cracks
The accusation that Trump has no strategy to defeat Iran ceased to be true the day he stopped oil shipments. The Revolutionary Guards had first claim on the revenues which they did not waste on medicines, frozen lamb etc to give it to Hezbollah, the Houthis and Rev Guard missile plants, nuclear recovery efforts Pls no more MOUs
연결된 기사
- UK Announces Import Ban and Sanctions Regime Targeting Settlement Trade
- Eight Countries Back UK Settlement Sanctions and Urge Wider Action
- U.S. Strikes Three Iranian Oil Tankers After IRGC Targets Navy Warships
- U.S. Strikes Iranian Tankers After New Missile Attempt on Navy Warship
- White House Says Iran Naval Blockade and Economic Pressure Remain in Force
- Vance Says U.S. Is Fully Investigating Reported Strike on Iranian Wedding
- Brent Crude Rises 1.3% to $95.91 as U.S.-Iran Fighting Intensifies
- Iranian Oil Chief Says Kharg Operations Continue, Rejecting Trump Claim
- Trump Weighs Limited Hormuz Strikes to Block Iran’s Military Rebuild