IMF Cuts Israel 2026 Growth Forecast to 3.5%
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The International Monetary Fund cut its 2026 Israeli growth forecast to 3.5% from 4.8%, citing regional tensions, high defense spending and labor constraints from military mobilization and fewer non-Israeli workers. The report still recognizes Israel's resilience after repeated shocks and projects 4.4% growth in 2027, with inflation near the 2% range. Hebrew and English coverage noted that the Bank of Israel's latest public forecast is higher, at 3.8%, underscoring that the debate is over the speed of Israel's recovery, not its direction. The warning is serious, but the policy answer is Israeli strength: rebuild fiscal buffers, expand skilled labor, protect price stability and keep high tech and export engines competitive.