Winner of the Closest Poll Before the Election
i24NEWS
How close it came
114/120Seats called correctly
- Seats off
- 6
- Parties exactly right
- 4 of 11
- Largest miss
- Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) +4
Forecast vs. result
- Poll
- Result
| Party | Poll | Result | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Likud | 27 | 27 | Exact |
| Yashar (Eisenkot) | 21 | 21 | Exact |
| Together (Bennett-Lapid) | 13 | 12 | -1 |
| Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) | 7 | 11 | +4 |
| The Democrats | 9 | 8 | -1 |
| Ra'am | 6 | 8 | +2 |
| Otzma Yehudit | 9 | 7 | -2 |
| United Torah Judaism | 8 | 7 | -1 |
| Yisrael Beytenu | 7 | 7 | Exact |
| Shas | 7 | 6 | -1 |
| Religious Zionism-Zehut | 6 | 6 | Exact |
Seats calculated from the full count and the published surplus-vote agreements, by the method of the Knesset Elections Law.
Seats by bloc
- Right-religious bloc
- Center-opposition bloc
- Arab parties
Poll
Result
About the poll
- Published by
- i24NEWS
- Pollster
- Direct Polls
- Published
- October 13, 2026 at 08:48 PM GMT+3
- Fieldwork
- October 13, 2026
- Sample size
- 1,210
- Who was asked
- Adults aged 18 and over, a representative sample of Israel's population
- Method
- An online survey system combined with a panel
- Margin of error
- ±2.8% at 95% confidence