Moving 10-poll average by bloc

Video transcript

Each date uses the ten latest tracked polls published on or before that date, equally weighted. Largest-remainder rounding makes the whole-seat party averages sum to 120; each bloc adds up its parties’ rounded seats. Dates without a new poll carry the preceding average. The dashed line marks 61 of 120 seats, a Knesset majority. These are averages of polls, not an election forecast.

Blocs follow the website’s Polls page: right-religious (Likud, Shas, United Torah Judaism, Otzma Yehudit, Religious Zionism–Zehut, People of Israel); center-opposition (Yashar, Together, Yisrael Beytenu, The Democrats); Arab parties (Ra’am, Joint List); non-aligned (Hendel–Zelekha, Blue and White).