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Poll Puts Eisenkot at 24 Seats, Likud at 21 and Winter at Four

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Courtroom-sketch editorial illustration of a hand placing a pale-green ballot into a blue ballot box above Benjamin Netanyahu, Itamar Ben-Gvir, Bezalel Smotrich, Gadi Eisenkot, Naftali Bennett, and Benny Gantz, drawn in warm ochre and slate-blue pastel with cross-hatching on sepia newsprint.

A Kantar poll conducted September 2-3 gives Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar 24 Knesset seats, Likud 21 and the Bennett-Lapid Beyachad list 13. Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael clears the electoral threshold with four seats, while a joint Smotrich-Feiglin slate receives six. In an alternative scenario, a Yashar-Beyachad merger reaches 36 seats and Winter rises to five; a Winter-Smotrich-Feiglin merger receives 11. The online survey included 555 respondents from 2,349 invited adults, including Arab respondents, and has a maximum sampling error of 4.2 percentage points.

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