A survey, reweighted: party preferences and the age adjustment

How age weighting changed the reported results of a voluntary survey of Russian-speaking immigrants, and why it is not a national election forecast.

TheStateOfIsrael.com
Read the slides
Preferences after age weighting. How age weighting changed the reported results of a voluntary survey of Russian-speaking immigrants, and why it is not a national election forecast.
Slide 1 of 2
The limits of the adjustment. How age weighting changed the reported results of a voluntary survey of Russian-speaking immigrants, and why it is not a national election forecast.
Slide 2 of 2
Slide 1 of 2

An age-adjusted recalculation published on 16 September 2026 offers a different view of a voluntary online survey conducted on 9–12 September.

The 3,725 respondents were almost entirely first-generation immigrants. Only age was reweighted; sex, income and immigration year were not.

The figures are nonrepresentative and are not a forecast for Israel's electorate.

Read the slides

Slide 1 of 2

Preferences after age weighting

POLLING / 16 SEP 2026 Who leads this online survey? Russian-speaking immigrants Top three, after age weighting Yisrael Beytenu 29% Likud 16% Beyahad 11% Voluntary, nonrepresentative.

Slide 2 of 2

The limits of the adjustment

HOW THE WEIGHTING WORKED Same answers. New weights. Eight age groups, weighted differently. Average age, years ≈64 Sample 59 Target The target is an estimate, not an official statistic.

Something went wrong

We couldn't complete that action. Check your connection and try again.