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Poll Puts Smotrich and Winter Above Threshold, Netanyahu Bloc at 52

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Courtroom-sketch editorial illustration of Benjamin Netanyahu in profile beside Ofer Winter and Bezalel Smotrich, shown in close-up over the Knesset chamber and drawn in warm ochre and slate-blue pastel with cross-hatching on sepia newsprint.

A new election poll puts Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar first with 24 seats, Likud on 21 and Naftali Bennett’s B’Yachad on 14. For the first time since Ofer Winter launched People of Israel, both his party and Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionism clear the threshold, with 4 and 5 seats respectively. Netanyahu-aligned parties reach 52 seats including Winter, while the non-Arab opposition bloc has 55. The poll gives the Democrats 9 seats, Yisrael Beytenu 8, UTJ and Joint List 8 each, Otzma Yehudit and Shas 7 each, and Ra’am 5. Netanyahu leads Bennett 37%-36% for prime-minister suitability but trails Eisenkot 40%-37%.

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