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U.S.-Iran Talks Near Interim Deal as Gulf Official Sets 50:50 Odds

A Gulf official briefed on the negotiations put the chances of a U.S.-Iran agreement by Friday at 50:50 and said Iran's delegation does not include hard-line Revolutionary Guard voices, which would still need to approve an interim deal. Earlier reports said Washington, Tehran and Oman were closing in on a temporary arrangement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and resume broader nuclear talks. One report said Iranian leaders had approved the draft and Washington aimed for Wednesday; another said negotiators had finalized it but still awaited Iran's supreme leader. The negotiations affect the war involving Israel and shipping through a waterway that previously carried about one-fifth of global oil and gas.

Sources

Secondary sources:123

Difference in reporting

Sources factually disagree on approval and timing: Ynet's 16:27 update says Revolutionary Guard hard-liners still need to approve an interim deal and a Gulf official puts the chance of agreement by Friday at 50:50; Axios says Iranian leaders completed approval Tuesday and Washington aimed for a Wednesday announcement; AP says negotiators finalized a draft but still awaited Iran's supreme leader and a deal could come Wednesday. The remaining facts are uniform: the U.S., Iran and Oman are negotiating a temporary Hormuz arrangement.

Courtroom-sketch editorial illustration of the Azadi Tower in Tehran; contextual illustration, not the reported event.

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Timeline: The Hormuz Standoff

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