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Likud Internal Polls Reportedly Raise Threshold Fears for Winter and Smotrich

Courtroom-sketch editorial illustration of an archival February 2025 portrait of Benjamin Netanyahu in a dark suit and blue tie, used as context for Likud election polling.

Internal polling conducted for Benjamin Netanyahu reportedly indicates that Ofer Winter's Amcha Israel and Bezalel Smotrich's Religious Zionism cannot both clear the electoral threshold. Likud is targeting tens of thousands of right-wing voters with a paid social-media campaign against Winter, using dozens of videos and quotations from candidates on his slate. An unnamed senior Likud figure said the party doubts Winter would support only a Netanyahu-led coalition. The campaign is linked to coalition concerns and fears that Winter could gain support at Religious Zionism's expense. The reported assessment came without polling figures or methodology.

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